Why is Silver continuing to outperform Gold? The Silver/Gold ratio tends to lead or follow the stock market. Risk assets are outperforming. Silver is outperforming Gold as a risk asset. It is not outperforming for monetary reasons. That occurs when both Gold and Silver advance but Silver outperforms Gold. This ... Read More

The mainstream press loves to talk about emerging market demand as a cause of inflation, rising prices and the bull market in commodities. Did emerging markets suddenly begin demanding food, energy and metals in 2001? What about five and ten years earlier? Its a rhetorical question. The conventional wisdom is ... Read More

At the end of December we posted a commentary titled “Three Things that could Halt Gold’s Run.” We theorized that strength in conventional markets pressures Gold. When stocks perform well, mainstream gurus and stock jocks can ignore Gold. Here is a snippet of our comment: Currently, stocks are performing well as ... Read More

Commodities are a very volatile asset class and unlike stocks, high prices will reduce demand while low prices will reduce production and supply. While buying breakouts and momentum in stocks often works well with the right risk controls, buying weakness rather than strength is more advisable in Commodities. The continuous commodity ... Read More

The bull market in Gold is in its 12th year (globally it began in 1999) but has yet to exhibit any “bubble-like” conditions. In fact, we still see many people referring to this bull market as “the Gold trade,” as if its an aberration that needs to be reversed or ... Read More

There are many ways to measure market sentiment. We use surveys, put-call ratios, fund flows data and for commodities especially, the commitment of traders reports (COT). Lately, we’ve noted the improving sentiment picture for Gold. As a market weakens sentiment will naturally become less bullish. In this case, sentiment has ... Read More

In covering the gold sector for my premium subscribers, I have noticed something lately. The large-caps really suck! Ok, that is harsh but it is the truth. In the chart below I show the large-cap indices. What do you see? The Dow Jones Precious Metals Index hasn’t gone anywhere for five years, ... Read More

An upward sloping consolidation in Gold that began in October has, despite a lack of any real losses, been enough to improve various sentiment indicators. Mark Hulbert of MarketWatch gives an update on his Gold sentiment indicator: Consider the average recommended gold market exposure among a subset of short-term gold market timers ... Read More

Yesterday I came across a clip from one of the business channels. The discussion was about “king dollar” and Gold. (The king dollar probably gives it away). Anyway, one of the guests quipped, “I’m on record that Gold is a dumb trade. It is rising based on fear and confusion  and ... Read More