Tag: 10 Year Cycle

06

Feb2010

Market manipulation in the balance.

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Our recent commentary on the subject of market manipulation elicited a wide range of feedback, pro and con. Some respondents agreed with my assertion that, assuming the existence of market manipulation, it doesn’t preclude one’s ability to successfully navigate financial markets with a reliable technical discipline. Others expressed the view ... Read More
February 6, 2010chanakya

23

Jan2010

Lessons from the Panic of 1907.

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In their timely look at the panic of 1907, Robert Bruner and Sean Carr focus attention on what they believe to be the underlying causes of the ’07 stock market crash and recession, drawing parallels between it and the credit crisis of more recent times. Their book, ... Read More
January 23, 2010chanakya

16

Jan2010

What crash history tells us to expect for 2010?

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Many have wondered why the 10-year cycle peak in late September/early October didn’t produce a more meaningful correction in the broad market.  Instead, the 10-year cycle peak produced only a marginal six percent pullback in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) instead of the much deeper one ... Read More
January 16, 2010chanakya

02

Jan2010

Prospects for Economic Recovery in 2010.

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With the commencement of a New Year comes the usual barrage of analyst predictions for what the year ahead will look like.  This is the time when economists present their year-ahead forecasts and when investors anxiously contemplate what the next 12 months will hold in store ... Read More
January 2, 2010chanakya

06

Nov2009

Gold at both ends of the economic K Wave.

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Now that the 10-year cycle has peaked, fear will become the dominant emotion in the financial marketplace in the years ahead.  Risk aversion is on the rise since the credit crisis and investors must look to those assets which tend to benefit from fear.  Gold is ... Read More
November 6, 2009chanakya

09

Sep2009

Gold, stocks and the 10-year cycle peak.

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Talk is now circulating in financial quarters of a new “mini-bubble” in the making. Apparently the unbounded rise in the stock market is reviving fears of another collapse like the one suffered last year. Another reason that the “hated rally” has sparked fears is that we’re about a year removed from ... Read More
September 9, 2009chanakya

22

Aug2009

The power of the 10-year cycle.

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Here we are again approaching another 10-year cycle peak.  The last such peak was in 1999 while the most recent 10-year cycle bottom was in 2004.  We wrote extensively on both episodes at the time and the 10-year cycle is one of our favorites.  It’s what ... Read More
August 22, 2009chanakya