In their timely look at the panic of 1907, Robert Bruner and Sean Carr focus attention on what they believe to be the underlying causes of the ’07 stock market crash and recession, drawing parallels between it and the credit crisis of more recent times. Their book, ... Read More
Tag: Clif Droke
16
Jan2010
Many have wondered why the 10-year cycle peak in late September/early October didn’t produce a more meaningful correction in the broad market. Instead, the 10-year cycle peak produced only a marginal six percent pullback in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) instead of the much deeper one ... Read More
January 16, 2010chanakya
09
Jan2010
I received an interesting comment from my previous commentary, “Prospects for Economic Recovery in 2010.” The basis of my claim that 2010 will witness some economic recovery was the “6-9 Month Rule” of Dow Theory fame. Simply stated, this rule says that a 6-to-9 month stock market ... Read More
January 9, 2010chanakya
02
Jan2010
With the commencement of a New Year comes the usual barrage of analyst predictions for what the year ahead will look like. This is the time when economists present their year-ahead forecasts and when investors anxiously contemplate what the next 12 months will hold in store ... Read More
January 2, 2010chanakya
14
Dec2009
Over the last few years we’ve made reference to the “cult” of non-participation. By this I mean the relative lack of retail investor interest in the stock market compared to the former decade. In tonight’s report we’ll look at why this trend of non-participation may be soon ... Read More
December 14, 2009chanakya
21
Nov2009
The XAU Gold Silver Index closed 0.84% lower on Friday, Nov. 20, to finish options expiration week at 184.28. The Gold Bugs Index (HUI) was 0.96% lower at 472.64. December gold finished the week at $1,146 while December silver closed the week at $18.44.Here’s what the gold futures price looks ... Read More
November 21, 2009chanakya
06
Nov2009
Now that the 10-year cycle has peaked, fear will become the dominant emotion in the financial marketplace in the years ahead. Risk aversion is on the rise since the credit crisis and investors must look to those assets which tend to benefit from fear. Gold is ... Read More
November 6, 2009chanakya
31
Oct2009
After the apparently success of its stimulus program, China’s remarkable economic recovery has many observers forecasting an even brighter future for the emerging powerhouse. China’s 2008-2009 economic rebound and rising appetite for commodities has made many bullish converts. A close look at some important indicators, however, calls that optimism into ... Read More
October 31, 2009chanakya
27
Sep2009
Probably the biggest “X-factor” in the ongoing effort at reviving the global economy is China. China is seen by many as the world’s emerging industrial powerhouse and its relationship with the United States is considered to be crucial for its own development, as well as for ... Read More
September 27, 2009chanakya
09
Sep2009
Talk is now circulating in financial quarters of a new “mini-bubble” in the making. Apparently the unbounded rise in the stock market is reviving fears of another collapse like the one suffered last year.
Another reason that the “hated rally” has sparked fears is that we’re about a year removed from ... Read More
September 9, 2009chanakya