- BEAR and BULL % relatively constant
- BEAR% staying high, yet NEUTRAL% (uncertainty) rising amidst declining markets
- Bullish result to week?
Tag: Timeandcycles
31
May2010
- BULL% rise after hitting a 8 month low in May 2010 - so given track record June 2010 should have a positive close
- High NEUTRAL% is reflective of major tops (as in Dec 2010 and May 2010), uncertainty increases at top. This month NEUTRAL% declines sharply. Though not a ... Read More
May 31, 2010chanakya
28
May2010
Traditional Technical Analysis books delve into "opinion of the crowds", and suggests a contrarian trading philosophy to the crowd sentiments.
But what about the "opinion of experts"?
See for yourself, how well the T&C Consensus jives with not betting against an "opinion of experts"
- On the surface the mathematical correlation between the two data series ... Read More
May 28, 2010chanakya
27
May2010
As we’ve discussed recently, persistent deflationary forces do not augur for a repeat of Japan circa 1990s or the US in the 1930s. Instead, because of the inability of government’s to finance their current and future debt burden (there is a dearth of domestic savings and global capital), deflationary forces ... Read More
May 27, 2010chanakya
22
May2010
Much has been written about the so-called “flash crash” that occurred on Thursday, May 6, which saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average lose nearly 1,000 points intraday. But did this sell-off fall under the category of a crash or a panic? The difference between the two events ... Read More
May 22, 2010chanakya
22
May2010
Recently, I had written about how a deflationary impulse in the capital markets would be a catalyst for the gold stocks. This turned out to be accurate as stocks and commodities weakened while treasuries and the US Dollar advanced. Gold and gold stocks also moved higher. Nevermind the comments I ... Read More
May 22, 2010chanakya
16
May2010
Summary
Gold is parabolic and could easily reach 1300, 1370 and 1400 briefly before it turns down significantly, and may even extend its Bull run into the Cardinal Climax of August 2010. However, Gold will break sharply when the parabolic move ends and a break of 1190 ... Read More
May 16, 2010chanakya
12
May2010
There are numerous reasons both fundamental and technical as to why the precious metals complex will surge over the next 18 months. The sector’s surge will be reinforced by the lack of an obvious trend in most other markets. Gold, Silver and the mining stocks will surge while other markets ... Read More
May 12, 2010chanakya
05
May2010
In the wake of continuing global financial turmoil, we hear quite a bit about “safe havens.” Ask someone today and they’d tell you that the US Treasuries are a safe haven and probably Gold also. On a day-to-day basis, certainly the US Dollar and US Treasuries are safe havens. The ... Read More
May 5, 2010chanakya
28
Apr2010
Since early 2009 we’ve written about the super-bullish long-term cup and handle pattern in Gold. It dates back to 1980 and has a logarithmic target of about $2,100. We noted that previous cup and handle patterns in Gold all reached their logarithmic target1. We expect that this move to $2,100 ... Read More
April 28, 2010chanakya