The news headlines have been fixated on the debt drama unfolding inEurope. It’s important that we give some thought to this since it paves the groundwork for the upcoming 120-year cycle bottom in 2014 and will increasingly play a bigger role in the financial market in 2012 and beyond.
CNBC ran ... Read More
Category: Clif Droke
07
Nov2011
Long-term cycles vs. short-term market potential
A reader has asked the following question, which addresses a problem confronting many investors right now:
“I always appreciate the Kress Cycle analysis. Yet, I must say that I am confused. For quite some time, you have talked about the ‘hard down’ phase and the topping ... Read More
November 7, 2011chanakya
03
Nov2011
Is the consumer spending surge a “dance of death”?
The latest economic headline came as a surprise to the pundits, though it actually makes perfect sense from a psychological standpoint. On Friday the Associated Press informed us of “Americans spending more with income almost flat,” per the headline. At first glance ... Read More
November 3, 2011chanakya
01
Aug2011
Now that the latest round of quantitative easing (QE) has ended, it’s time to take stock of whether inflation or deflation is likely to gain the upper hand going forward.
The Fed’s monetary stimulus efforts of the last three years have done nothing to help what is arguably the biggest symptom ... Read More
August 1, 2011chanakya
15
Jul2011
A long wave expert shares his “big picture” outlook
David Knox Barker is
one of the leading authorities on the economic long wave, otherwise known as the
Kondratieff Wave (a.k.a. “K Wave”). Barker has had an impressive career both as
a financial market writer and long wave analyst, as well as being an
entrepreneur in ... Read More
July 15, 2011chanakya
27
Jun2011
There are two major considerations for the nation’s economic and financial health as we enter the second half of 2011. Each can be addressed in the form of a question: 1.) Will the Federal Reserve embark on a third attempt at stimulating economic recovery through ... Read More
June 27, 2011chanakya
14
Jun2011
Forgotten in the avalanche of economic headlines in recent weeks is the fact that the housing market hit a new low. In the latest reporting month the national housing index hit a new low, falling below the previous low from April 2009. This should be prompting a ... Read More
June 14, 2011chanakya
04
Jun2011
Let’s take a step back and examine the intermediate-term outlook for 2011 based on some observations we made earlier this year.
Earlier we discussed the outlook for 2011 based on an “echo analysis” of the Kress cycles. In January, Ned Davis Research produced a chart which combined the ... Read More
June 4, 2011chanakya
27
May2011
The year 2011 to date has seen its share of ups and downs in the financial market, yet nothing like the volatility of 2010 has made its appearance. With an important long-term yearly cycle scheduled to peak in just a few months, this would be a good time to look ... Read More
May 27, 2011chanakya
10
May2011
Silver has once again stolen the investment market spotlight. Margin requirements for silver trading rose 84 percent last week, which prompted a major sell-off. Silver posted its worst four-day drop since 1980 and was down more than 25% after the CME Group raised the costs for investors to trade ... Read More
May 10, 2011chanakya